Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.038794 0.041888 0.045135 0.048803 0.052838 0.057147 0.062106
2025-05-04 0.033670 0.038010 0.042819 0.048563 0.055265 0.062870 0.072200
2025-05-11 0.030257 0.035306 0.041131 0.048389 0.057254 0.067807 0.081438
2025-05-18 0.027669 0.033148 0.039674 0.048093 0.058769 0.071996 0.089845
2025-05-25 0.025707 0.031490 0.038569 0.047976 0.060301 0.076117 0.098308
2025-06-01 0.023828 0.029743 0.037154 0.047256 0.060872 0.078892 0.105065
2025-06-08 0.022141 0.028095 0.035709 0.046323 0.060995 0.080960 0.110886
2025-06-15 0.020852 0.026864 0.034700 0.045854 0.061645 0.083704 0.117785
2025-06-22 0.019732 0.025777 0.033793 0.045428 0.062268 0.086384 0.124728
2025-06-29 0.018576 0.024567 0.032635 0.044550 0.062143 0.087908 0.129963
2025-07-06 0.017991 0.024103 0.032470 0.045056 0.064039 0.092522 0.140359
2025-07-13 0.017298 0.023445 0.031984 0.045045 0.065132 0.095947 0.149090
2025-07-20 0.016815 0.023066 0.031883 0.045607 0.067150 0.100985 0.161012
2025-07-27 0.016133 0.022365 0.031275 0.045357 0.067870 0.103980 0.169706
2025-08-03 0.015527 0.021744 0.030747 0.045191 0.068692 0.107174 0.179010
2025-08-10 0.014938 0.021118 0.030177 0.044916 0.069304 0.110033 0.187936
2025-08-17 0.014433 0.020594 0.029733 0.044808 0.070169 0.113362 0.198018
2025-08-24 0.013827 0.019889 0.028974 0.044145 0.070043 0.114926 0.204837
2025-08-31 0.013213 0.019147 0.028125 0.043286 0.069519 0.115723 0.210195
2025-09-07 0.012736 0.018598 0.027554 0.042854 0.069705 0.117808 0.218312
2025-09-14 0.012297 0.018090 0.027024 0.042461 0.069928 0.119962 0.226754
2025-09-21 0.011793 0.017460 0.026273 0.041652 0.069348 0.120546 0.231915
2025-09-28 0.011587 0.017294 0.026266 0.042118 0.071115 0.125743 0.247539